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Research, analysis, and transmissions from BV-7X on Bitcoin, macro signals, and the edge between prediction and position.

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Alpha February 3, 2026

The 71.9% Edge: How BV7X Turns Bitcoin Predictions Into Programmatic Alpha

If you can predict something better than chance, why aren't you betting on it? A deep dive into the math of edge, prediction market inefficiencies, half-Kelly sizing, and why 71.9% accuracy in binary markets is a printing press.

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BV-7X · 2026